Game Theory Psychic Phenomenon

Game Theory for the Check Mate
Are there true psychics? The short answer is yes. Not in the aesthetic form you might be thinking; not with tarot cards and palm reading. It happens in far more mundane and subtle ways. It is a key component to the learned & enlightened mind. Through simple understandings, revelations so to speak, anyone has the ability to become psychically aware. Psychics are simply an all encompassing term for what many people have learned to do naturally and over time. They might not fully grasp the social science & mechanics behind psychic phenomenon. It happens nonetheless.  It happens because of game theory. What exactly is game theory? A quick Google search provides a quick definition:

the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant’s choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants. Game theory has been applied to contexts in war, business, and biology.

Why am I calling Game Theory psychic phenomenon? It is a way in which the world can predict and react to actions without formal communications. With the proper “true” data sets with both parties, both parties would inherently know what the other is thinking and doing. I learned game theory through my Minor studies of Politics at New York University. I applied these techniques to better understand my Major studies of International Business & Finance. I’m writing this to explain that studying Game Theory will have positive results in understanding almost any social situation. Its not rocket science, its mathematics and social science!
Game Theory Decision Tree
Game Theory entails, at a basic level, the concept of decision trees. Actors will have the chance to evaluate the cost/benefit of decisions & counter decisions. Both players act simultaneously and will rationally come to the same result equilibrium every time. Its the social decision making skills that allow for master Chess or Poker players. It is an art in many ways not a science. Not through the dynamics of the actual decision tree. The decision tree is simple. The difficult thing is understanding and knowing the actual cost/benefit valuation of each node. Truly “psychic” parties will know how to play the game and know how to correctly valuate any decision contingent they may be involved with. Game Theory is fundamentally simple to understand. I recommend starting with simple game understandings such as the “Prisoner’s Dilemma”. In reality, things get exceedingly complex; exceedingly fast. This is where the art over science kicks in. There must be a way to estimate variables that are not fully known within the “game”. For me, this is the most powerful tool I learned at New York University. By this understanding, you can analyze the world in a anti-ideological manner. Those that seek truth will see that Game Theory is in essence #Realpolitik. Via this method, I’m attempting to explain that this is an obscure tool that is rarely taught to people in school. It is one of the most powerful tools for anyone of higher learning. So where does this assumption lead us?
One must assume that Game Theory exists and is utilized both explicitly and inherently for time immemorial. My major point is that Game Theory sheds light into something far more insidious within society. I wholeheartedly believe that Game Theory correctly identifies the existence of Bigfoot! That was a joke. Game Theory correctly identifies the existence of implicit collusion within our economic & political society. It explains the unspoken dance within these realms that move the world. The movers and shakers do not need to formally communicate, they will correctly valuate actions and move accordingly within socio-political economic circles. The result is the ability to perform collusion in all forms, both legally and illegally. This may seem like a big leap, but this is what a blog is for. Blogs are not scientific papers and can therefore be more risky with assumptions.
There have been many cases investigated and unraveled that proved economic parties were fixing prices, or contracts, or something of the sort. I don’t have a concrete example off the top of my head but it would be beneficial to research this claim. My big claim is that as much as game theory may predict certain behaviors, it also predicts bad behavior. For many it may lead to delusional misunderstandings and assumptions about history, politics & economics. On the flip-side it may vindicate the Conspiracy Theorist. Wow! This is powerful stuff I’m talking about!
On a final note, I can’t help but feel that Game Theory’s assumptions lead to practical revelations. For many it would lead to a total lack of surprise when things are leaked to the media. I feel that if 99% of the National Security Agency documents are still not released, we will see much much more supporting this concept. I believe Game Theory is how the Mob is able to conduct much illicit business under the radar of many things. I believe it predicts bad behavior in clandestine situations. Enough rambling on my part though.
Realpolitik and Game Theory got us through the Cold War in many respects. We’re in an era where Hegemonic influences are quickly becoming decentralized and harder to predict. This will inevitably lead to a new set of winners and losers within the world. As said before, Game Theory has been applied for time immemorial. It is the explicit tool of enlightened thinking. I will venture to say that you simply cannot consider yourself at a higher level of thinking without these tools on board. It is the tool that makes a bright person bright. The correct application of game theory will make a bright person look brilliant! Game Theory in practice will make the pundit look absolutely psychic in their predictions. This understanding will inevitably lead to far more sophistication and enlightenment within society. It also may lead to a greater level of discontent. That is for another blog post. I must have a few crumbs on the blog path; so to speak. My final thought in all of this is that you simply have to look at the success of Nate Silver in the 2012 US election cycle. Sans ideological propaganda, Nate Silver was able to predict election outcomes in a precision not understood by most ideologues.

In Praise of the Federal Reserve System

Nowadays the Federal Reserve Bank is a regular punching bag in the blogs & social media. Misunderstandings of fundamental economic mechanics are commonplace. Misconceptions about financial history is the norm. Economic realities are skewed even further from the machinations of partisan politics; attempting to position themselves in tough economic times against an obscure system. This does not, however, make the general public right and salutary. It is quite the contrary. Governance of the Federal Reserve System in the United States deserves all the praise in the world. For 100 years it has acted in a way that has grown and stabilized the US & world economies. It has been a keystone of modern day economic strength. It has remained “Independent” through tough political times. It has navigated rough economic waters with the greatest of prowess & courage. In short; this post is me calling detractors of the Federal Reserve as full of shit.

For starters, my education gives me insight into this subject moreover than the average pundit & blogger. I have a Finance degree from New York University. I also have gotten my NASD (now FINRA) Series 7 & 66 in the past. This allows me to speak a bit more intelligibly about a subject that’s like walking into a hornets nest of nasty naysayers. The Left speaks of the Fed as a tool of the Oligarchical Power Elite; the “Banksters” so to speak. The Right claims the Fed is out to destroy America in cahoots with Tyrants of Globalization. The consensus is that the Fed is bad and on the verge of evil. None can be farther from the truth. The reality is far more mundane.

Enlightened Thinking or Tyrannical Enterprise?

Getting to the crux of the matter are two sticking points with the average political pundit: an “Independent” Federal Reserve System & the utilization of Fiat Money. Both are deemed arbitrarily as wrong; linking events of recent recessions to Monetary Policy. Fiscal Policy, Free Market Mechanics, & Regulatory environments are all to often totally neglected from the big picture. The secretive nature of a well-running Federal Reserve System, compounded with poor public relations, has left society with a modern day bogeyman.

The fundamental economic lesson taught in Business School Economics is that healthy Monetary Policy is contingent on an “Independent” Federal Reserve System. This means that in a strong, healthy society decision making is left to scientific inquiry; not political positioning. Government Politicians & Bureaucrats are not to impede Monetary Policy with their machinations. In the United States there is a fundamental system of “Checks & Balances” in the process of Governance. This has left a Constitutional framework that allows Economic Policymakers to act in the best self interests of the economy. This is a loose and almost haphazard reflection on what really occurs. Generally speaking, the purpose is to ensure society grows economically. Philosophically the can of worms is opened via this mandate. Inequality & success rates are so relative in the public political debate that the real workings of the Fed is lost. Moreover lessons learned over time of political mismanagement of Central Banks leaves future generations vulnerable to misunderstanding.

The greater misconception of Modern Finance & Economics is Fiat Money. The Gold Standard is looked at as the holy grail of stability. It is fantasized about as the golden age of the Dollar; blatantly disregarding economic history of the US and the World. Fiat money is seen as creating a declining dollar; implying that this is negative. Decline automatically equates to bad, bad, bad to the economic simpleton. This totally neglects the fact that commodity standard money is completely unstable and easily manipulated via arbitrage opportunities. It nearly bankrupted the US and Great Britain. Pax Britannica was put on their knees not simply via two World Wars, but by the fundamental economic collapse that followed from monetary instability. Furthermore, inflation is seen as the devil in all forms. This completely negates and ignores the reality of optimal inflationary pressures on a healthy economy. Deflation, high inflation, & stagflation are the real devils of a Country’s economic state.

All too often political pundits, talking heads, us the Fed as a punching bag to hide that they have promoted destructive Fiscal Policies. Poor Regulations & unfortunate fiscal decisions have left the Federal Reserve picking up the pieces of economic situations left for shit. My main point in all of this is that I wholeheartedly believe that we have a strong and vibrant Federal Reserve System. It is not perfect; it is not infallible. It is also not evil. If you want to know what truly has been evil is economic political policy post-WWII. The Federal Reserve has been around for 100 years now. It has been left to sweep up the mess politicians have left in the crusade against Soviet Communism in wake of the Hegemonic Cold War. This culminated in the worship of Ronald Reagan and the incarnation of Supply-Side Economics of the Right Wing. Reaganomic policies of “Trickle-Down Economics” have left the United States in far weaker terms than anything the Federal Reserve has done. During his “reign” Reagan saw huge interest rate increases. This was terrible for the Average American. The Fed got the Blame. Unfortunately Volker was mending a bloody wound left by rampant inflation of the late 1970’s and early 1980’s. Further interest rate manipulation to spur correct amounts of inflation, to grow GDP, has left pundits to claim that the US is in decline. Inflation is a reality. Monetary Policy is but a tool in a greater machine. It would be far more honorable to question Eisenhour’s assertion that we should beware the Military-Industrial Complex. Events surrounding this concept are far more enlightening to the true strength or decline of the United States of America. If the talking heads had their way, we would not be a scientifically sophisticated nation of economic Central Bankers. Instead we’d look more like Robert Mugabe’s Zimbabwe. If this is too cryptic to understand; it would be wise to study up on Geo-political economic realities & history.

Novus Ordo Seclorum

As an American Citizen, it is wise to contemplate what you see on the back of a dollar bill. What does the Great Seal mean? Why was it enshrined in our early US Government? Does it still hold the same meaning in popular society today? How did it get hijacked by conspiracy nuts? What the hell are those cryptic Latin words?

A quick search on Wikipedia finds how wrong we have our general notions. “Novus Ordo Seclorum” was proposed by Charles Thomson. It literally translates to “A New Order of the Ages”. This is far more benign than “A New World Order” or “A New Secular Order” that people generally misconstrue this to be. With the Declaration of Independence from Great Britain, the Founding Fathers sought to create a system of checks & balances. It was hard fought through works such as the Federalist Papers. The dream was almost lost with the Articles of Confederation. It won out as our US Constitution; A pragmatic document giving flexibility for future amendments.
So what does “A New Order of the Ages” mean to me. Fundamentally it is the concept that Democracy, with proper checks & balances on Powers, leads to greater stability & equity. We can all debate how fair, stable, & equitable the US has been in the past. This is not up for debate. I’m simply making the point that in the 18th century, the world was dominated by Constitutional Monarchies. Empires ruled the roost through a system of Mercantilism that had been unraveling through centuries of conflict. Understanding that Natural Law allowed for the separation of Church & State, the First Amendment added protections within the newly created Constitution. Protestant vs Catholic religious civil war was still fresh in the minds of the Founding Fathers. Colonies were specifically set up to avoid religious persecution; only to persecute others with differing beliefs. The United States of America was not to be mistaken for a Confederation of former Colonies.
Awakened to the Age of Enlightenment, the Founding Fathers drew on the momentum of science & philosophy to create a flexible, stable government. Moreover, the systems created were meant to promote the ideologies of illuminated knowledge. The likes of John Locke, Voltaire, Hobbes, & the Founding Fathers were truly revolutionary. They did not usurp power for power’s sake. They, in one of the only times in known history, actually tried to create a new & responsive governance model. The Great Seal & “Novus Ordo Seclorum” rightfully embodies these concepts.

Shin Chan on Republicans and Taxes

Sometimes the most hard hitting criticisms of politics is cloaked in the most absurd fashion. If you are generally frustrated with the GOP, just spend the 22 seconds and watch this video. Shin Chan in general is absolutely raw comedy with very real societal commentary. This is a prime example of this type of political satire!
I don’t know what to add about Shin Chan’s Republican criticism. This speaks for itself quite nicely!

NSA Spies on Online Gamers

EVE Online

EVE Online – Amarr Station

Are you surpised? NSA is spying on online gamers. Remember Vile Rat of EVE Online? He died in Benghazi! Moreover Online games bridge the gap of sovereignty. Players are able to integrate and collaborate on a global scale. These communications are almost by nature encrypted based on the usage of specific chat and voice channels. This is a very easy way to transmit more than just game information to a savvy spy. That being said, I am a gamer. I got nothing to hide. I personally don’t care if they are watching me take over the galaxy. If anything I think it is a reality of the sign of the times. Online Games are here to stay and have long term affects on the Global Community. Governments by nature would be interested in this surveillance.